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The growth in seasonal hurricane forecasting — Gray and Klotzbach issue their first forecast for the following season immediately after the end of the last, and other groups soon follow — suggests that science is nearing the threshold of being able to make much improved forecasts, said Jeff Masters, director of meteorology at The Weather Underground Web site.“Users of these forecasts need to keep in mind that these are very much research products and are going to be highly variable in performance,” he said. “There is the risk that spectacular failures of forecasts will turn people off to seasonal hurricane forecasting, when the long-term outlook for their success is good.”While there may be agreement this year in the expectation of a near-normal season, there is considerable disagreement about which areas might receive the brunt of the activity and whether such a thing can even be predicted.

"But it looks like these paramilitary groups are entering and roaming freely, particularly during the night."Poor would be hard hit by proposed California budget cutsReporting from Sacramento -- With deficit forecasts growing darker by the day, Gov Arnold Schwarzenegger is considering a plan to slash California's safety net for the poor by eliminating the state's main welfare program, health insurance for low-income families and cash grants to college students.

''We are not going to release anyone if it would endanger our national security, nor will we release detainees within the United States who endanger the American people,'' he said.He spoke from a podium in the room at the National Archives that houses the Constitution.Obama didn't say how many detainees fall into this category, though some analysts have estimated that it could be 50 to 100 of Guantanamo's remaining 240 detainees.